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Trudeau Pays Trump Surprise Visit Amid Threat of Tariffs
On Friday, Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau made an unannounced visit to Florida to have dinner with US president-elect Donald Trump and members of his incoming administration. The visit, which took place at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate, makes Trudeau the first G7 leader to meet with Trump since the election. The meeting comes after Trump threatened to impose 25% tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico until both countries control what he called an “uncontrolled” flow of drugs and migrants into the United States.
The proposed tariffs represent a serious threat to Canada’s economy, which is highly dependent on foreign trade. About 75% of Canada’s exports go the United States, and certain sectors, such as oil & gas and automotive exports, are even more reliant on US consumers. While some argue that Trump’s position on tariffs is a negotiation tactic, Trudeau is taking Trump seriously: “When he makes statements like that, he plans on carrying them out”.
Both Trump and Trudeau reported a “productive” conversation after the dinner, although neither offered many specifics. Trudeau underscored his ability to work with Trump during his first term, despite an occasionally tense relationship between the two leaders. Trump has previously denounced Trudeau “two-faced” and “very dishonest and weak”; nevertheless, an anonymous official described the meeting Friday as “very friendly, very positive.”
Sources indicate that one of Trudeau’s key objectives was to decouple Canada from Mexico in the Trump’s mind. Canadian officials have bristled at what they consider an “unfair” comparison between the two countries, and say that the expansion of the “border crisis” narrative to the US-Canada border is not supported by facts.
Canada’s ambassador to the United States, Kirsten Hillman, said Sunday that she believed Trudeau had managed to convince Trump that the Canada-US border was fundamentally secure. Hillman pointed out that the US border agents seized a mere 43 pounds of fentanyl coming from Canada last year. And while attempted illegal crossings from Canada have increased in recent years, Hillman noted that the 23,721 migrants caught entering the US from Canada last year was less than half of the 56,530 migrants apprehended entering from Mexico in October alone.
Regardless, Canadian officials have been quick to assure the incoming administration that they are willing to increase border security. Public safety minister Dominic LeBlanc, who attended the meeting with Trump, suggested the federal government would make unspecified additional investments in border control. And as an example of security cooperation, Ambassador Hillman pointed to a controversial deal that Trudeau signed with President Biden last year to tighten rules around asylum-seeking and expand deportation eligibility for refugee claimants.
Nevertheless, the Canadian government is preparing for any eventuality. Trump’s proposed tariff regime would unravel one of the key achievements of his last administration, the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). Officials have begun exploring the possibility of retaliatory tariffs, which Canada had enacted prior to the signing of CUSMA in 2018. And Canada’s thirteen provincial leaders met last month to discuss the possibility of an alternate solution, such as Canada pursuing a bilateral trade agreement with the US that excludes Mexico. |